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Shale Completions Rise Above Last Year, Signaling Strength Into 2026
Nov 27, 2025<p><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">This week’s </span><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/select-author-first-monday-macro-view-many-opinions-on-u-s-oil-one-set-of-numbers-tells-the-real-story/"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></span></a><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"> further cemented the strength that the U.S. shale industry has shown even as oil prices continue to fall.</span></p>
How Can U.S. Production Hit 13.6 mbpd With Oil at $55?
Nov 20, 2025<p><span style="color:#191E23;"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">Thi</span></span><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">s week’s </span><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/select-author-first-monday-macro-view-shale-producers-plan-to-increase-production/"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></span></a><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"><strong> </strong>answers something that no one is talking about.</span></p>
What EIA, Primary Vision, and OFS Results Have in Common? A Positive Outlook for Shale
Nov 13, 2025<p><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">The week’s </span><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/market-sentiment-monday-macro-view-what-happens-when-efficiency-meets-the-decline-curve/"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></span></a><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"> focused on the latest EIA data that claims that the base decline rate of horizontal wells keeps steepening, forcing operators to drill more just to hold production steady. </span></p>
Special Report: What Does Breakeven Actually Mean?
Nov 06, 2025<p><span style="font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>In this </strong></span><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/select-author-first-monday-macro-view-shale-is-enjoying-a-stable-period-but-what-comes-next/"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>week’s Monday Macro View</strong></span></a><span style="font-size:12.0pt;"><strong> </strong></span><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">we decode our latest weekly report along with other important developments. U.S. completion activity remains remarkably steady, with the Frac Spread Count hovering around 175 for the past month. </span></p>
Understanding Breakevens, Part One: Laying the Groundwork for a Misunderstood Idea
Nov 04, 2025<p data-start="196" data-end="765">Everyone talks about “breakevens” in oil but almost no one agrees on what the word actually means. Is it $15, $60, or $90 a barrel? The truth is, all those numbers can be right and completely different. In this first part of our series, we strip the term down to its fundamentals and reveal why “breakeven” has become one of the most misunderstood ideas in global energy markets. Before diving into the spreadsheets and investor decks, it’s time to ask a simple but powerful question: <em data-start="685" data-end="763"><i>what does breakeven really mean — and why does it matter now more than ever?</i></em></p>
U.S. Frac Gains Steady as Sanctions Cloud the Elusive Oil Glut
Oct 30, 2025<p><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/select-author-first-monday-macro-view-frac-ing-activity-picks-up-across-key-shale-basins/"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>This week’s Monday Macro View</strong></span></a><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"> showed Frac activity is quietly but unmistakably firming across U.S. shale basins, signaling that operators may be positioning for a stronger Q4 finish than consensus expects. </span></p>
Has Shale Finally Learned to Live with $50 Oil?
Oct 23, 2025<p><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/select-author-first-monday-macro-view-the-50-oil-shock-that-shale-shrugged-off/"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>In this week’s Monday Macro View </strong></span></a><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">we explore “The $50 Oil Shock That Shale Shrugged Off,” a story about resilience more than price.</span></p>
Will Trade Tensions Undermine U.S. Energy’s Winning Streak?
Oct 16, 2025<p><span style="font-size:12.0pt;">In this week’s<strong> </strong></span><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/select-author-first-monday-macro-view-can-record-u-s-output-survive-tariffs-tungsten-and-tight-margins/"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></span></a><span style="font-size:12.0pt;"><strong> </strong></span><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">the question isn’t whether U.S. oil output can stay high—it’s what kind of strain that strength can withstand. </span></p>
Can Record U.S. Output and China’s Buying Keep Oil Markets in Balance?
Oct 09, 2025<p><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">In this week’s </span><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/select-author-first-monday-macro-view-u-s-production-hits-record-high-opec-to-provide-some-floor-to-oil-prices/"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></span></a><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"> we discuss how U.S. oil production continues to challenge expectations. July’s output hit a record 13.6 million barrels per day, prompting the EIA to lift its forecast for both 2025 and 2026 to 13.5 million. </span></p>
UPDATED: The Hidden Strength in U.S. Oil — and What Markets Are Missing
Oct 02, 2025<p><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">In this week’s </span><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/select-author-first-monday-macro-view-why-u-s-oil-s-future-looks-stronger-than-the-dallas-fed-suggests/"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></span></a><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">, we cut through the gloomy headlines to show why U.S. oil’s future looks stronger than the Dallas Fed survey suggests. </span></p>
Will U.S. Completions Counter OPEC+ Flows?
Sep 25, 2025<p><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">In this week’s </span><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/select-author-first-monday-macro-view-will-completions-counter-opec-flows/"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></span></a><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">, we’re watching how U.S. shale is leaning harder on completions to keep production steady just as OPEC+ barrels start flooding back into the market. </span></p>
Will Fed Rate Cuts Rescue Oil Demand?
Sep 18, 2025<p><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;">In this week’s </span><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/market-sentiment-monday-macro-view-fsc-and-fjc-jumps-by-5-this-week-here-is-what-to-expect-next/"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></span><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;font-weight:normal;"><strong>,</strong></span></a><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:12.0pt;"> the data offered a reminder that oil markets rarely move in straight lines. </span></p>
Surplus Clouds Oil’s Autumn Outlook
Sep 11, 2025<p>In this week’s <a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/monday-macro-view/"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></a>, we returned to the theme of balance — or imbalance — in oil markets. </p>
Is Diesel the Real Floor Under Oil? Also: Don’t forget to Register for Third Party Opinion
Sep 04, 2025<p>In this week’s <a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/monday-macro-view-whats-keeping-oil-prices-from-dropping/"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></a>, we look at oil’s unexpected floor. Brent has climbed 15% since May to around $68, even as OPEC+ restored supply. </p>
Special Announcement: Don’t Miss the Third Party Opinion Session
Aug 28, 2025<p><strong>In this week’s </strong><a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/monday-macro-view-why-ngls-hold-the-keys-to-shale-economics/"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></a><strong>, w</strong>e turn our attention to natural gas liquids — often overlooked, but increasingly central to shale economics. </p>
What happens to U.S. oil if prices remain lower for longer?
Aug 21, 2025<p>In this week’s <a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/monday-macro-view-how-long-the-efficiency-gains-will-help-us-sustain-production/"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></a><strong>*</strong>, we asked a hard question: how long can efficiency gains keep U.S. oil production afloat in the face of soft prices? </p>
Mexico’s Shale Dream – Real Momentum or Just More Talk?
Aug 07, 2025<p>In this week’s <a href="https://efracs.primaryvision.co/articles/mexico/"><strong>Monday Macro View</strong></a>, we zoom in on one of the most tantalizing but underdeveloped stories in global energy: Mexico’s shale potential. </p>
Basin Trends Reveal U.S. Completion Insights
Jul 31, 2025<p>This week our <a href="https://primaryvision.co/2025/07/28/enterprise-subscribers-decoding-fsc-and-fjc-by-shale-basin/"><strong>Mondy Macro View </strong></a>for our Enterprise Subscribers look at the FJC and FSC numbers by Shale basins.</p>
Why Are U.S. Inventories Tight While Global Stocks Rise?
Jul 10, 2025This week’s Monday Macro View* dives into the growing divergence between U.S. and global oil inventories—and how our Frac Job Count helps explain it.
Is the Oil Sector Slowing Down or Just Waiting for a Signal?
Jul 03, 2025This week’s Monday Macro View takes on the big question: is the global oil and gas sector deteriorating or just recalibrating?
Is the Oil Market Already Looking Past the War?
Jun 26, 2025The war is over and oil is in free fall. Brent is down to $67 and WTI is hovering around $64, shedding nearly 10% in just a few days.
What’s Really Behind the Oil Rally? It’s Not Just the Middle East
Jun 19, 2025This week’s Monday Macro View* explores the top five forces driving oil prices higher—because no, it’s not just the Israel–Iran headlines.
PV UPDATE: OPEC+ Is Pumping More—Will U.S. Shale Blink?
Jun 12, 2025OPEC+ is ramping up supply again—adding over 400,000 barrels per day each month into July—and the market expects U.S. shale to follow.
PV UPDATE: Are We Building Too Many Electric Fleets Too Fast?
Jun 05, 2025This week, we are shifting the lens slightly. Instead of watching the ground (basins), we're watching the gear (technology).
PV UPDATE: Is This the Start of a Slowdown in U.S. Shale?
May 29, 2025Last week we talked about cracks forming beneath the surface of oilfield activity.
PV UPDATE: Is the Uinta Already Past Its Tipping Point?
May 22, 2025Last week we touched on the growing disconnect between oil prices and field activity.
PV UPDATE: Can Falling Frac Jobs Trigger a Price Rebound?
May 15, 2025Last week we redefined what Tier 1 really means in a shale world that’s running out of easy answers.
PV UPDATE: If Everything Is Tier 1, What Comes Next?
May 08, 2025Keeping in line with the last week’s theme, in this week’s Monday Macro View*, we explore how geology alone can’t explain well performance in 2025.
PV UPDATE: When Tier 1 Runs Dry: What’s Next for Shale?
Apr 30, 2025Every shale boom rests on a foundation — but what happens when that foundation starts to thin?
PV UPDATE: What’s Standing Between Shale and Its Next Boom?
Apr 24, 2025The U.S. shale sector is entering a new phase—defined less by how much oil can be drilled and more by how smartly it can be completed.
PV UPDATE: Is Completion Design the New Oilfield Frontier?
Apr 17, 2025Chevron’s decision to deploy triple frac technology across half its Permian completions in 2025 shares the growing importance of operational intelligence at the completion stage.
PV UPDATE: Is U.S. Shale Prepared for the Fallout of a Trade War?
Apr 10, 2025As U.S. natural gas production hits new highs, pipeline delays are creating serious bottlenecks.
PV UPDATE: Is the Shale Slowdown Already Starting?
Apr 02, 2025As U.S. natural gas production hits new highs, pipeline delays are creating serious bottlenecks.
PV UPDATE: Can U.S. Pipelines Keep Up With the Gas Boom?
Mar 26, 2025As U.S. natural gas production hits new highs, pipeline delays are creating serious bottlenecks.
PV UPDATE: Can U.S. Shale withstand $50 oil price?
Mar 19, 2025Is U.S. shale truly resilient enough to withstand $50 oil, or is this claim dangerously overstated?
PV UPDATE: How Far Can U.S. Frac Activity Hold if Oil Prices Keep Falling?
Mar 12, 2025Volatility, uncertainty, and shifting fundamentals—these are the forces shaping today’s oil and energy markets.
PV UPDATE: Energy Shifts and Market Moves: Natural Gas Prices and Global Trends
Mar 05, 2025This week’s newsletter highlights the critical intersection between rising natural gas prices and the future of U.S. energy strategy.
PV UPDATE: Where will U.S. oil production growth come from in 2025?
Feb 26, 2025The oil market is facing a fresh challenge in 2025: a growing supply overhang as Non-OPEC production climbs. At the heart of this shift is the U.S., where oil output is set to hit 13.59 million barrels per day, according to the EIA.
PV UPDATE: Discipline over Drilling
Feb 19, 2025Discipline has taken precedence over aggressive drilling. With BP having already released its fourth-quarter results and ExxonMobil and Chevron poised to report soon, Primary Vision’s latest Frac Spread Count (FSC)
PV UPDATE: Will Tariffs Upend the Oil Markets?
Feb 12, 2025The threat of tariffs, the war of words, the sheer fickleness in policy these are some the characteristics of global economic order in general and commodity markets in particular.
PV UPDATE: What is the FSC telling us about U.S. future production?
Feb 05, 2025U.S. oil majors are set to release their financial results in the coming week.
PV UPDATE: How is the Oil Field Services industry performing?
Jan 29, 2025In this latest update we discuss the future of the oil field industry and the impact of price swings, geopolitics and Trump’s announcement on the future of oil prices. Everything is connected. From words to wars and from rhetoric to reality. Let’s dicsuss these themes in detail.
PV UPDATE: What does Frac Spread Count tell us about the job trends in oil and gas?
Jan 23, 2025The U.S. oil market is undergoing very interesting developments as it has managed to consolidate monetarily but also produce more.
PV UPDATE: Why 54% of U.S. Frac Activity is Concentrated in a Single Basin
Jan 16, 2025This update brings our readers significantly meaningful insights derived from our original data bank. We have said this on ad nauseam basis: the most important oil supply story is that of the U.S. which in turn will determine the trajectory of prices.
PV UPDATE: How will 2025 look for oil markets?
Jan 08, 2025The new year is here! In this update, Primary Vision looks at the global markets in general and the oil markets in particular to find out the key factors guiding the prices and trajectory of these markets.
PV UPDATE: The Future of Syrian Oil Post Revolution?
Dec 18, 2024Before the conflict began in 2011, Syria produced about 383,000 barrels per day (bpd) of oil, contributing roughly 25% of government revenue.
PV UPDATE: What OPEC+ Cuts Mean for the Oil Markets in 2025?
Dec 11, 2024OPEC+ has once again adjusted its strategy to navigate the turbulent waters of global oil demand. Initially, the group planned to ease production cuts starting October 1, then pushed this back to January 1. Now, the goalpost has shifted further to April 2025.
PV UPDATE: Can Trump Really Boost U.S. Oil Production?
Dec 04, 2024This update brings you some significantly interesting articles that intend to answer important questions.
PV UPDATE: How Long Will the OPEC+ Cuts Last?
Nov 27, 2024If there is one question that will determine the future not of the global oil markets but also the economy at large, that is how long the OPEC+ cuts will last.
PV UPDATE: Why is Frac’ing the backbone of U.S. Energy Security?
Nov 20, 2024Hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling—collectively known as fracking—have unlocked vast reserves of oil and natural gas that were once considered inaccessible.